REPRICED
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Window 02 Sept 2026, 23:49 UTC → 03 Sept 2026, 01:19 UTC
Price at window start 33¢ → at trigger 28¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 28 Oct 2026, 23:59 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -1.5pts: 33¢ at window start → 31¢ now
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 32¢ (band 32¢–53¢)
band from 164 hourly obs / 7.0d
- VOLUME 18.2× this market's 7-day norm, $5.5k in 24h
- BOOK Book 4.6:1 ask, $512/$2.4k within 10¢
Triggers (2)
- 02 Sept 2026, 23:49 UTC: Sustained reprice: 33¢ → 28¢ (-4.0pts), confirmed over 30s
- 02 Sept 2026, 23:56 UTC: Band breach (lower): 28¢ → 31¢ (+2.0pts), confirmed over 30s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.19× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time