OUTSIDE BAND
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Window 02 Sept 2026, 05:50 UTC → 02 Sept 2026, 07:20 UTC
Price at window start 87¢ → at trigger 84¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 13 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -4.5pts: 87¢ at window start → 82¢ now
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 85¢ (band 85¢–89¢)
band from 166 hourly obs / 7.0d
- VOLUME 2.5× this market's 7-day norm, $31.5k in 24h
- BOOK Book 6.9:1 ask, $7.7k/$53.2k within 10¢
Triggers (1)
- 02 Sept 2026, 05:50 UTC: Band breach (lower): 87¢ → 84¢ (-3.0pts), confirmed over 30s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.75× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time