Ohio Governor winner?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.0pts: 43¢ at window start → 44¢ at close
• BOOK Book 1.2:1 ask, $113.4k/$132.6k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.2× this market's 7-day norm, $6.9k in 24h

Book 1.2:1 ask, $113.4k/$132.6k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 02 Sept 2026, 15:33 UTC: Band breach (lower): 43¢ → 42¢ (-1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.33× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 5 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 42¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 44¢, held -1.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 44¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots