Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.5pts: 12¢ at window start → 13¢ at close
• VOLUME 21.0× this market's 7-day norm, $5.2k in 24h
• BOOK Book 3.6:1 bid, $2.4k/$677 within 10¢

Book 3.6:1 bid, $2.4k/$677 within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 02 Sept 2026, 14:31 UTC: Band breach (upper): 12¢ → 14¢ (+1.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.5× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 3 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 14¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 14¢, held +1.5ptspts
• Peak move: +1.5pts
• Held 33% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 13¢
• Graded from 178 snapshots