OUTSIDE BAND WINDOW OPEN: LIVE Polymarket

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Window 02 Sept 2026, 18:35 UTC → 02 Sept 2026, 20:05 UTC

Price at window start 13¢ → at trigger 18¢

YES up · NO down

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Live payload

REPRICED Repriced -2.0pts: 13¢ at window start → 11¢ now
VOLUME 51.0× this market's 7-day norm, $12.7k in 24h
BOOK Book 2.0:1 ask, $2.0k/$4.1k within 10¢
UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $2.0k, 1.5× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 84 trades / 7d

02 Sept 2026, 18:35 UTC: Band breach (upper): 13¢ → 18¢ (+5.0pts), confirmed over 30s
02 Sept 2026, 18:44 UTC: Sustained reprice: 18¢ → 12¢ (-5.5pts), confirmed over 30s