OUTSIDE BAND
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Kalshi
Blue wave in 2026?
Window 02 Sept 2026, 02:59 UTC → 02 Sept 2026, 04:29 UTC
Price at window start 76¢ → at trigger 75¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 01 Feb 2027, 15:00 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -1.5pts: 76¢ at window start → 75¢ now
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 76¢ (band 76¢–79¢)
band from 145 hourly obs / 6.9d
- VOLUME 3.7× this market's 7-day norm, $24.1k in 24h
- BOOK Book 1.2:1 bid, $10.6k/$9.0k within 10¢
Triggers (1)
- 02 Sept 2026, 02:59 UTC: Band breach (lower): 76¢ → 75¢ (-1.0pts), confirmed over 30s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.33× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time