OUTSIDE BAND WINDOW OPEN: LIVE Kalshi

Blue wave in 2026?

Window 02 Sept 2026, 06:07 UTC → 02 Sept 2026, 07:37 UTC

Price at window start 76¢ → at trigger 75¢

YES down · NO up

Resolves 01 Feb 2027, 15:00 UTC

Live payload

REPRICED Repriced -1.0pts: 76¢ at window start → 75¢ now
OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 76¢ (band 76¢–79¢)
band from 146 hourly obs / 7.0d
VOLUME 4.1× this market's 7-day norm, $27.7k in 24h
BOOK Book 1.1:1 bid, $8.8k/$7.8k within 10¢

02 Sept 2026, 06:07 UTC: Band breach (lower): 76¢ → 75¢ (-1.0pts), confirmed over 30s