Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.4pts: 24¢ at window start → 24¢ at close
• BOOK Book 1.2:1 bid, $20.8k/$17.5k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.9× this market's 7-day norm, $15.3k in 24h

Book 1.2:1 bid, $20.8k/$17.5k within 10¢ · spread 0.6¢

Triggers (1)

• 01 Sept 2026, 18:04 UTC: Band breach (upper): 24¢ → 24¢ (+0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.1× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 8 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 24¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 24¢, held +0.7ptspts
• Peak move: +0.7pts
• Held 50% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 24¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots