Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -2.0pts: 85¢ at window start → 83¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 84¢ (band 84¢–87¢)
  band from 167 hourly obs / 6.9d
• VOLUME 28.2× this market's 7-day norm, $2.7k in 24h
• BOOK Book 6.2:1 ask, $3.4k/$21.2k within 10¢

Book 6.2:1 ask, $3.4k/$21.2k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 01 Sept 2026, 17:46 UTC: Band breach (lower): 85¢ → 84¢ (-1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.33× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 8 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 83¢, drift +0.5pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 83¢, held +1.5ptspts
• Peak move: +2.0pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no data
• Price at close: 83¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots