Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 13¢ at window start → 13¢ at close
• BOOK Book 2.0:1 bid, $13.3k/$6.5k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.4× this market's 7-day norm, $2.0k in 24h

Book 2.0:1 bid, $13.3k/$6.5k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 01 Sept 2026, 06:29 UTC: Band breach (lower): 13¢ → 12¢ (-0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.1× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 0 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 12¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 12¢, held +0.5ptspts
• Peak move: +0.5pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 13¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots