Blue wave in 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.5pts: 77¢ at window start → 78¢ at close
• VOLUME 3.3× this market's 7-day norm, $6.6k in 24h
• BOOK Book 3.1:1 bid, $31.5k/$10.1k within 10¢

Book 3.1:1 bid, $31.5k/$10.1k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 01 Sept 2026, 01:11 UTC: Band breach (upper): 77¢ → 78¢ (+0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.17× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 4 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 78¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 78¢, held +0.5ptspts
• Peak move: +0.5pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 78¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots