Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.5pts: 97¢ at window start → 98¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 97¢ (band 84¢–97¢)
  band from 161 hourly obs / 6.9d
• BOOK Book 3.0:1 ask, $2.8k/$8.4k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.4× this market's 7-day norm, $2.3k in 24h

Book 3.0:1 ask, $2.8k/$8.4k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 31 Aug 2026, 12:25 UTC: Band breach (upper): 97¢ → 98¢ (+0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.04× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 0 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 98¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 98¢, held +0.5ptspts
• Peak move: +0.5pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 98¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots