Next Fed rate hike?: REPRICED | TruthPing receipts

Frozen payload

REPRICED Repriced +8.0pts: 71¢ at window start → 79¢ at close
OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 70¢ (band 59¢–70¢)
band from 165 hourly obs / 6.9d
VOLUME 5.6× this market's 7-day norm, $103.0k in 24h
BOOK Book 1.3:1 bid, $54.0k/$41.4k within 10¢
UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $7.6k, 11.7× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 1,512 trades / 7d

Book 1.3:1 bid, $54.0k/$41.4k within 10¢ · spread 3.0¢

Triggers (6)

31 Aug 2026, 13:52 UTC: Sustained reprice: 71¢ → 78¢ (+7.0pts), confirmed over 30s
31 Aug 2026, 13:55 UTC: Sustained reprice: 78¢ → 83¢ (+5.5pts), confirmed over 30s
31 Aug 2026, 13:58 UTC: Sustained reprice: 83¢ → 79¢ (-4.0pts), confirmed over 30s
31 Aug 2026, 14:06 UTC: Sustained reprice: 79¢ → 76¢ (-3.5pts), confirmed over 30s
31 Aug 2026, 14:11 UTC: Sustained reprice: 76¢ → 81¢ (+5.0pts), confirmed over 30s
31 Aug 2026, 14:49 UTC: Sustained reprice: 81¢ → 77¢ (-3.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context artifact

@DeItaone · X: surfaced 7 min after the break began

U.S. 10-YEAR YIELD TOPS 4.75%, HIGHEST SINCE 2025 The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed above 4.75%, its highest since January 2025, as surging oil prices boosted expectations for Fed rate hikes. Oil gained more than 3% after President Trump threatened further attacks on Iran, adding to inflation concerns. The 30-year yield approached 5.26%, while Friday’s hawkish comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh continue to pressure Treasuries.

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Shown as timing context from the sources TruthPing watches. Its appearance near the move is an observation, not an explanation.

Outcome: graded at window close

+2m after alert: 83¢, drift +5.0pts in the alert direction
+30m: 80¢, held +9.5ptspts
Peak move: +13.0pts
Held 62% of the peak move at close
Still beyond trigger at +10m: yes
Still beyond trigger at +30m: yes
Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
Gave back half within 60m: yes
Price at close: 79¢
Graded from 180 snapshots