Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 48¢ at window start → 48¢ at close
• VOLUME 18.4× this market's 7-day norm, $17.8k in 24h
• BOOK Book 2.0:1 bid, $33.9k/$16.8k within 10¢

Book 2.0:1 bid, $33.9k/$16.8k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 31 Aug 2026, 11:27 UTC: Band breach (lower): 48¢ → 47¢ (-1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context artifact

@DeItaone · X: posted 1h 6m before the break

IRAN FM ACCUSES NETANYAHU OF PUSHING U.S. INTO WAR Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi called Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu a “serpent,” accusing him of manipulating Washington into joining the war against Iran. Araghchi cited Netanyahu’s Hebrew-language remarks about influencing the U.S. Netanyahu previously said it took him “a long time” to persuade Washington to join Israel in the conflict.

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Shown as timing context from the sources TruthPing watches. Its appearance near the move is an observation, not an explanation.

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.33× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 20 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 47¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 47¢, held +1.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 48¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots