Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +4.0pts: 54¢ at window start → 57¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 52¢ (band 30¢–52¢)
  band from 165 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 4.2× this market's 7-day norm, $12.4k in 24h
• BOOK Book 69.4:1 bid, $33.9k/$489 within 10¢

Book 69.4:1 bid, $33.9k/$489 within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 31 Aug 2026, 13:56 UTC: Sustained reprice: 54¢ → 57¢ (+3.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.17× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 15 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 57¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 57¢, held +4.0ptspts
• Peak move: +4.0pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 57¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots