REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Polymarket
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Window 30 Aug 2026, 00:46 UTC → 30 Aug 2026, 02:16 UTC
Price at window start 92¢ → at trigger 88¢ → at close 88¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 30 Sept 2026, 03:59 UTC
Frozen payload
- REPRICED Repriced -4.0pts: 92¢ at window start → 88¢ at close
- VOLUME 4.2× this market's 7-day norm, $9.4k in 24h
- BOOK Book 1.0:1 ask, $11.9k/$12.2k within 10¢
Book 1.0:1 ask, $11.9k/$12.2k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢
Triggers (1)
- 30 Aug 2026, 00:46 UTC: Sustained reprice: 92¢ → 88¢ (-4.0pts), confirmed over 30s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.14× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
- 0 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)
Outcome: graded at window close
- +2m after alert: 88¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
- +30m: 88¢, held +4.0ptspts
- Peak move: +4.0pts
- Held 100% of the peak move at close
- Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
- Gave back half within 60m: no
- Price at close: 88¢
- Graded from 179 snapshots