Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.6pts: 98¢ at window start → 99¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 98¢ (band 94¢–98¢)
  band from 168 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 2.3× this market's 7-day norm, $22.7k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.9:1 ask, $87.7k/$162.9k within 10¢

Book 1.9:1 ask, $87.7k/$162.9k within 10¢ · spread 0.1¢

Triggers (1)

• 30 Aug 2026, 20:10 UTC: Band breach (upper): 98¢ → 99¢ (+0.6pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.14× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 7 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 99¢, drift -0.1pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 99¢, held +0.9ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 65% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 99¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots