Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +2.0pts: 49¢ at window start → 51¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 49¢ (band 30¢–49¢)
  band from 165 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 1.9× this market's 7-day norm, $4.7k in 24h
• BOOK Book 9.3:1 bid, $30.6k/$3.3k within 10¢

Book 9.3:1 bid, $30.6k/$3.3k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 30 Aug 2026, 20:12 UTC: Band breach (upper): 49¢ → 51¢ (+2.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.11× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 2 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 51¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 51¢, held +2.0ptspts
• Peak move: +2.0pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 51¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots