Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.9pts: 98¢ at window start → 99¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 98¢ (band 94¢–98¢)
  band from 168 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 14.3× this market's 7-day norm, $134.2k in 24h
• BOOK Book 2.2:1 ask, $52.8k/$117.5k within 10¢

Book 2.2:1 ask, $52.8k/$117.5k within 10¢ · spread 0.7¢

Triggers (1)

• 29 Aug 2026, 15:58 UTC: Band breach (upper): 98¢ → 98¢ (+0.6pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.16× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 1 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 98¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 98¢, held +0.7ptspts
• Peak move: +0.8pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no data
• Price at close: 99¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots