Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -0.5pts: 54¢ at window start → 54¢ at close
• VOLUME 6.1× this market's 7-day norm, $546.9k in 24h
• BOOK Book 3.5:1 ask, $98.2k/$339.1k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $1.9k, 1.2× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 4,013 trades / 7d

Book 3.5:1 ask, $98.2k/$339.1k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 29 Aug 2026, 13:55 UTC: Band breach (lower): 54¢ → 54¢ (-0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.03× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 43 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 54¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 54¢, held +0.5ptspts
• Peak move: +0.5pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 54¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots