Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.0pts: 69¢ at window start → 70¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 70¢ (band 67¢–70¢)
  band from 157 hourly obs / 6.9d
• BOOK Book 2.7:1 ask, $3.7k/$9.9k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.7× this market's 7-day norm, $3.4k in 24h

Book 2.7:1 ask, $3.7k/$9.9k within 10¢ · spread 0.3¢

Triggers (1)

• 29 Aug 2026, 03:47 UTC: Band breach (upper): 69¢ → 70¢ (+0.9pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.32× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 5 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 70¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 71¢, held +1.6ptspts
• Peak move: +1.8pts
• Held 57% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 70¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots