2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.0pts: 20¢ at window start → 21¢ at close
• BOOK Book 1.3:1 bid, $32.1k/$25.6k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.0× this market's 7-day norm, $5.6k in 24h

Book 1.3:1 bid, $32.1k/$25.6k within 10¢ · spread 2.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 29 Aug 2026, 10:58 UTC: Band breach (upper): 20¢ → 21¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.33× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 6 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 21¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 21¢, held +1.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 21¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots