Window 28 Aug 2026, 14:32 UTC → 28 Aug 2026, 16:02 UTC
Price at window start 43¢ → at trigger 56¢ → at close 53¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 16 Sept 2026, 17:55 UTC
Frozen payload
REPRICED Repriced +10.0pts: 43¢ at window start → 53¢ at close
OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 35¢ (band 30¢–35¢) band from 163 hourly obs / 7.0d
VOLUME 10.5× this market's 7-day norm, $26.2k in 24h
BOOK Book 17.6:1 bid, $47.0k/$2.7k within 10¢
UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $11.8k, 71.2× this market's typical big trade size baseline: 95th pct of 557 trades / 7d
Book 17.6:1 bid, $47.0k/$2.7k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢
Triggers (7)
28 Aug 2026, 14:32 UTC: Sustained reprice: 43¢ → 56¢ (+13.0pts), confirmed over 30s
28 Aug 2026, 14:36 UTC: Sustained reprice: 56¢ → 52¢ (-4.0pts), confirmed over 30s
28 Aug 2026, 14:39 UTC: Sustained reprice: 52¢ → 47¢ (-4.5pts), confirmed over 30s
28 Aug 2026, 14:43 UTC: Sustained reprice: 47¢ → 44¢ (-3.5pts), confirmed over 30s
28 Aug 2026, 14:57 UTC: Sustained reprice: 44¢ → 51¢ (+7.0pts), confirmed over 31s
28 Aug 2026, 15:07 UTC: Sustained reprice: 51¢ → 48¢ (-3.0pts), confirmed over 30s
28 Aug 2026, 15:19 UTC: Sustained reprice: 48¢ → 53¢ (+5.0pts), confirmed over 30s
Context artifact
@FirstSquawk · X: posted 31 min before the break
WARSH: AT JULY MEETING 'GOOD MAJORITY' FELT WISER COURSE WAS TO WAIT || IMPRESSED BY THE OVERALL PERFORMANCE OF ECONOMY, APPEARS TO HAVE STRENGTHENED || CREDIT AND LOAN MARKETS SHOWING FEW SIGNS OF POLICY RESTRAINT || WAGE GROWTH MODERATE, BUT NOT A RELIABLE INDICATOR OF FUTURE INFLATION