Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -0.5pts: 70¢ at window start → 69¢ at close
• BOOK Book 3.2:1 ask, $79.6k/$254.2k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $4.9k, 3.2× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,255 trades / 7d
• VOLUME 1.2× this market's 7-day norm, $102.0k in 24h

Book 3.2:1 ask, $79.6k/$254.2k within 10¢ · spread 2.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 28 Aug 2026, 12:30 UTC: Band breach (upper): 70¢ → 71¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.25× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 66 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 71¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 71¢, held +1.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 69¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots