Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.2pts: 69¢ at window start → 71¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 70¢ (band 66¢–70¢)
  band from 160 hourly obs / 7.0d
• BOOK Book 3.5:1 ask, $3.0k/$10.7k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $605, 6.2× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 1,645 trades / 7d
• VOLUME 0.8× this market's 7-day norm, $4.0k in 24h

Book 3.5:1 ask, $3.0k/$10.7k within 10¢ · spread 3.2¢

Triggers (1)

• 28 Aug 2026, 16:10 UTC: Band breach (upper): 69¢ → 70¢ (+0.7pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.25× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 21 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 70¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 70¢, held +0.7ptspts
• Peak move: +2.0pts
• Held 63% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: yes
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 71¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots