Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.9pts: 69¢ at window start → 70¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 70¢ (band 66¢–70¢)
  band from 158 hourly obs / 7.0d
• BOOK Book 3.7:1 ask, $2.8k/$10.3k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.7× this market's 7-day norm, $3.5k in 24h

Book 3.7:1 ask, $2.8k/$10.3k within 10¢ · spread 2.5¢

Triggers (1)

• 28 Aug 2026, 22:47 UTC: Band breach (upper): 69¢ → 70¢ (+1.3pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.43× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 15 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 70¢, drift -0.2pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 70¢, held +1.3ptspts
• Peak move: +2.5pts
• Held 80% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no data
• Price at close: 70¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots