Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.5pts: 69¢ at window start → 71¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 70¢ (band 66¢–70¢)
  band from 159 hourly obs / 7.0d
• BOOK Book 3.6:1 ask, $2.9k/$10.7k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.6× this market's 7-day norm, $3.2k in 24h

Book 3.6:1 ask, $2.9k/$10.7k within 10¢ · spread 2.4¢

Triggers (1)

• 28 Aug 2026, 18:39 UTC: Band breach (upper): 69¢ → 71¢ (+1.7pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.57× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 16 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 71¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 71¢, held +1.7ptspts
• Peak move: +1.8pts
• Held 89% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 71¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots