QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Window 28 Aug 2026, 19:30 UTC → 28 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@sentdefender · 28 Aug 2026, 19:29 UTC

Early reports from local sources indicate that Iran has possibly fired missiles and drones into the Strait of Hormuz just earlier. More to come. https://t.co/vhYZc9QRPj