Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 28¢ at window start → 28¢ at close
• VOLUME 8.4× this market's 7-day norm, $159.7k in 24h
• BOOK Book 5.2:1 ask, $2.9k/$15.1k within 10¢

Book 5.2:1 ask, $2.9k/$15.1k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 27 Aug 2026, 19:01 UTC: Band breach (upper): 28¢ → 30¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.33× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 10 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 30¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 28¢, held +0.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 28¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots