Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +4.0pts: 84¢ at window start → 88¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 84¢ (band 81¢–84¢)
  band from 168 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 1.8× this market's 7-day norm, $8.7k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.8:1 ask, $11.2k/$20.7k within 10¢

Book 1.8:1 ask, $11.2k/$20.7k within 10¢ · spread 3.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 27 Aug 2026, 18:14 UTC: Band breach (upper): 84¢ → 86¢ (+2.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context artifact

@financialjuice · X: surfaced 1 min after the break began

The Anthropic IPO is likely in late September/early October - The Information.

View the post

Shown as timing context from the sources TruthPing watches. Its appearance near the move is an observation, not an explanation.

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.67× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 13 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 86¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 88¢, held +4.0ptspts
• Peak move: +4.5pts
• Held 89% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: yes
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: yes
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 88¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots