South Carolina Senate winner?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 88¢ at window start → 88¢ at close
• VOLUME 3.0× this market's 7-day norm, $2.9k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.4:1 bid, $129.0k/$90.3k within 10¢

Book 1.4:1 bid, $129.0k/$90.3k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 27 Aug 2026, 18:38 UTC: Band breach (lower): 88¢ → 87¢ (-1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.33× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 6 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 87¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 87¢, held +1.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 88¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots