Ohio Senate winner?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 55¢ at window start → 55¢ at close
• VOLUME 5.3× this market's 7-day norm, $22.2k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.3:1 ask, $145.9k/$189.1k within 10¢

Book 1.3:1 ask, $145.9k/$189.1k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 27 Aug 2026, 22:24 UTC: Band breach (upper): 55¢ → 56¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.32× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 4 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 55¢, drift -0.5pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 55¢, held +0.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 55¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots