REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Kalshi
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Window 27 Aug 2026, 21:23 UTC → 27 Aug 2026, 22:53 UTC
Price at window start 71¢ → at trigger 68¢ → at close 68¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 15:00 UTC
Frozen payload
- REPRICED Repriced -3.3pts: 71¢ at window start → 68¢ at close
- BOOK Book 3.4:1 ask, $2.8k/$9.3k within 10¢
- VOLUME 0.9× this market's 7-day norm, $4.8k in 24h
Book 3.4:1 ask, $2.8k/$9.3k within 10¢ · spread 0.1¢
Triggers (1)
- 27 Aug 2026, 21:23 UTC: Sustained reprice: 71¢ → 68¢ (-3.2pts), confirmed over 30s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.98× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
- 11 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)
Outcome: graded at window close
- +2m after alert: 68¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
- +30m: 68¢, held +3.4ptspts
- Peak move: +3.4pts
- Held 100% of the peak move at close
- Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
- Gave back half within 60m: no
- Price at close: 68¢
- Graded from 180 snapshots