Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.9pts: 69¢ at window start → 71¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 70¢ (band 67¢–70¢)
  band from 159 hourly obs / 7.0d
• BOOK Book 3.8:1 ask, $2.9k/$10.7k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.4× this market's 7-day norm, $7.5k in 24h

Book 3.8:1 ask, $2.9k/$10.7k within 10¢ · spread 3.3¢

Triggers (1)

• 27 Aug 2026, 16:45 UTC: Band breach (upper): 69¢ → 70¢ (+0.9pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.31× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 39 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 69¢, drift -0.8pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 68¢, held -0.6ptspts
• Peak move: +1.9pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no data
• Price at close: 71¢
• Graded from 178 snapshots