2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 18¢ at window start → 18¢ at close
• BOOK Book 2.1:1 ask, $49.7k/$104.0k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.1× this market's 7-day norm, $11.7k in 24h

Book 2.1:1 ask, $49.7k/$104.0k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 27 Aug 2026, 22:27 UTC: Band breach (lower): 18¢ → 17¢ (-1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.33× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 19 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 18¢, drift -1.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 17¢, held +1.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 18¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots