Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +6.5pts: 40¢ at window start → 47¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 52¢ (band 52¢–65¢)
  band from 165 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 8.1× this market's 7-day norm, $33.1k in 24h
• BOOK Book 2.5:1 ask, $719/$1.8k within 10¢

Book 2.5:1 ask, $719/$1.8k within 10¢ · spread 3.0¢

Triggers (2)

• 26 Aug 2026, 08:13 UTC: Sustained reprice: 40¢ → 44¢ (+3.5pts), confirmed over 30s
• 26 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC: Sustained reprice: 44¢ → 47¢ (+3.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.28× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 2 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 44¢, drift +0.5pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 45¢, held +5.0ptspts
• Peak move: +6.5pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: yes
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: yes
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no data
• Price at close: 47¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots