Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 92¢ at window start → 92¢ at close
• BOOK Book 4.1:1 ask, $10.9k/$44.8k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.0× this market's 7-day norm, $6.7k in 24h

Book 4.1:1 ask, $10.9k/$44.8k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 26 Aug 2026, 18:13 UTC: Band breach (upper): 92¢ → 93¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.2× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 2 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 93¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 92¢, held +0.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 92¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots