Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -0.9pts: 69¢ at window start → 68¢ at close
• VOLUME 1.8× this market's 7-day norm, $9.4k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.9:1 bid, $22.5k/$11.7k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $194, 2.0× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 1,612 trades / 7d

Book 1.9:1 bid, $22.5k/$11.7k within 10¢ · spread 0.9¢

Triggers (1)

• 26 Aug 2026, 16:39 UTC: Band breach (upper): 69¢ → 70¢ (+1.1pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.36× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 32 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 70¢, drift -0.2pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 68¢, held -1.2ptspts
• Peak move: +1.4pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 68¢
• Graded from 179 snapshots