Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -3.5pts: 60¢ at window start → 56¢ at close
• VOLUME 8.1× this market's 7-day norm, $27.7k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.1:1 ask, $3.8k/$4.0k within 10¢

Book 1.1:1 ask, $3.8k/$4.0k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 25 Aug 2026, 16:57 UTC: Sustained reprice: 60¢ → 56¢ (-3.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.29× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 1 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 56¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 56¢, held +3.5ptspts
• Peak move: +3.5pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 56¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots