Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -3.0pts: 64¢ at window start → 61¢ at close
• BOOK Book 6.7:1 bid, $18.2k/$2.7k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.4× this market's 7-day norm, $1.3k in 24h

Book 6.7:1 bid, $18.2k/$2.7k within 10¢ · spread 2.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 25 Aug 2026, 13:42 UTC: Sustained reprice: 64¢ → 61¢ (-3.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.25× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 0 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 61¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 61¢, held +3.0ptspts
• Peak move: +3.5pts
• Held 86% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 61¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots