Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -7.0pts: 42¢ at window start → 35¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 32¢ (band 28¢–32¢)
  band from 164 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 3.1× this market's 7-day norm, $2.5k in 24h
• BOOK Book 15.2:1 bid, $4.7k/$313 within 10¢

Book 15.2:1 bid, $4.7k/$313 within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 24 Aug 2026, 06:53 UTC: Sustained reprice: 42¢ → 36¢ (-6.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 1.2× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 5 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 36¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 36¢, held +6.0ptspts
• Peak move: +7.0pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no data
• Price at close: 35¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots