Will Trump be impeached?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 56¢ at window start → 56¢ at close
• VOLUME 5.4× this market's 7-day norm, $7.1k in 24h
• BOOK Book 5.3:1 bid, $69.7k/$13.3k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $1.1k, 6.1× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 498 trades / 7d

Book 5.3:1 bid, $69.7k/$13.3k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 23 Aug 2026, 02:13 UTC: Band breach (lower): 56¢ → 55¢ (-2.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.5× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 8 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 55¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 56¢, held +0.0ptspts
• Peak move: +2.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 56¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots