QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Window 23 Aug 2026, 02:14 UTC → 23 Aug 2026, 03:44 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 01 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@unusual_whales · 23 Aug 2026, 02:12 UTC

BREAKING: The number of U.S. service members reported wounded or killed in the Iran war has jumped to 774, per WaPo