Window 23 Aug 2026, 23:11 UTC → 24 Aug 2026, 00:41 UTC
Price at window start 31¢ → at trigger 32¢ → at close 32¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 09 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Frozen payload
REPRICED Repriced +0.5pts: 31¢ at window start → 32¢ at close
OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 31¢ (band 24¢–31¢) band from 168 hourly obs / 7.0d
VOLUME 2.0× this market's 7-day norm, $2.6k in 24h
BOOK Book 10.9:1 bid, $216.3k/$19.8k within 10¢
TIMING First reprice T+62m
WIRE Wire: @Polymarket T−62m, link confidence 75%: "JUST IN: Ethereum projected to reclaim $2,600 by the end of August.
60% chance.
https://t.co/cOscwkEan3"
Book 10.9:1 bid, $216.3k/$19.8k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢
Triggers (1)
23 Aug 2026, 23:11 UTC: Band breach (upper): 31¢ → 32¢ (+0.5pts), confirmed over 30s
Context
Opening move ≈ 0.06× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
3 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)
Outcome: graded at window close
+2m after alert: 32¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction