Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -0.9pts: 67¢ at window start → 66¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 67¢ (band 67¢–70¢)
  band from 161 hourly obs / 7.0d
• BOOK Book 4.2:1 ask, $3.6k/$15.2k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.3× this market's 7-day norm, $1.9k in 24h

Book 4.2:1 ask, $3.6k/$15.2k within 10¢ · spread 0.1¢

Triggers (1)

• 23 Aug 2026, 20:34 UTC: Band breach (lower): 67¢ → 66¢ (-0.9pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.3× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 10 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 66¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 66¢, held +0.9ptspts
• Peak move: +0.9pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 66¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots