Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -1.1pts: 67¢ at window start → 66¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 67¢ (band 67¢–70¢)
  band from 163 hourly obs / 7.0d
• BOOK Book 5.0:1 ask, $2.5k/$12.4k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.7× this market's 7-day norm, $5.5k in 24h

Book 5.0:1 ask, $2.5k/$12.4k within 10¢ · spread 1.3¢

Triggers (1)

• 22 Aug 2026, 18:50 UTC: Band breach (lower): 67¢ → 66¢ (-0.6pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.2× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 10 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 66¢, drift +0.1pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 66¢, held +0.7ptspts
• Peak move: +1.4pts
• Held 85% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 66¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots