Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.8pts: 67¢ at window start → 68¢ at close
• BOOK Book 4.5:1 ask, $2.7k/$12.3k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $118, 1.2× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,161 trades / 7d
• VOLUME 1.0× this market's 7-day norm, $8.3k in 24h

Book 4.5:1 ask, $2.7k/$12.3k within 10¢ · spread 2.3¢

Triggers (1)

• 22 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC: Band breach (lower): 67¢ → 66¢ (-1.2pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.4× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 81 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 66¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 66¢, held +1.4ptspts
• Peak move: +1.4pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 68¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots