Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.5pts: 86¢ at window start → 88¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 86¢ (band 80¢–86¢)
  band from 167 hourly obs / 6.9d
• VOLUME 8.9× this market's 7-day norm, $4.9k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.6:1 ask, $17.9k/$27.7k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $1.8k, 1.6× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 112 trades / 7d

Book 1.6:1 ask, $17.9k/$27.7k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 22 Aug 2026, 14:40 UTC: Band breach (upper): 86¢ → 87¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.14× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 2 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 87¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 87¢, held +1.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.5pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 88¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots