REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Kalshi
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
Window 21 Aug 2026, 21:07 UTC → 21 Aug 2026, 22:37 UTC
Price at window start 71¢ → at trigger 74¢ → at close 74¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 11 Aug 2027, 14:00 UTC
Frozen payload
- REPRICED Repriced +3.0pts: 71¢ at window start → 74¢ at close
- VOLUME 1.6× this market's 7-day norm, $283.3k in 24h
- BOOK Book 2.1:1 ask, $55.7k/$118.9k within 10¢
Book 2.1:1 ask, $55.7k/$118.9k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢
Triggers (1)
- 21 Aug 2026, 21:07 UTC: Sustained reprice: 71¢ → 74¢ (+3.0pts), confirmed over 30s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.16× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
- 20 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)
Outcome: graded at window close
- +2m after alert: 74¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
- +30m: 74¢, held +3.0ptspts
- Peak move: +3.0pts
- Held 100% of the peak move at close
- Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
- Gave back half within 60m: no
- Price at close: 74¢
- Graded from 180 snapshots