Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.5pts: 69¢ at window start → 70¢ at close
• VOLUME 1.7× this market's 7-day norm, $12.7k in 24h
• BOOK Book 3.9:1 ask, $2.8k/$11.0k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $99, 1.0× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,108 trades / 7d

Book 3.9:1 ask, $2.8k/$11.0k within 10¢ · spread 3.7¢

Triggers (1)

• 21 Aug 2026, 11:05 UTC: Band breach (upper): 69¢ → 70¢ (+0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.17× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 12 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 70¢, drift +0.1pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 70¢, held +0.4ptspts
• Peak move: +0.6pts
• Held 75% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 70¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots